← Kindle Read [ Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction ] ⠶ Book By Philip E Tetlock ⡯

← Kindle Read [ Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction ] ⠶ Book By Philip E Tetlock ⡯ Superforecasting The Art and Science of Prediction Kindle edition by Philip E Tetlock, Dan Gardner Download it once read on your device, PC, phones or tablets Use features like bookmarks, note taking highlighting while reading Barel Karsan Value Investing Superforecasting Forecasts are everywhere But surprisingly, few ask receive the track record forecasters As a result, we end up consuming lot bad forecasts, as hearing from those who better at entertaining than they forecasting Book Review Slate Star Codex author Superforecasting, got famous studying prediction His first major experiment, Expert Political Judgment is frequently cited saying that top pundits predictions no accurate chimp throwing darts list possibilities although Notes of Notes Why some experts good making when others fare Report Related links Report, credit report, research, stock report Published Rob Furlong When considering portfolio management tools many people think about complex spreadsheets Bloomberg terminals chance Learn most powerful tool you can haveSuperforecasting Tetlock Annenberg University Professor Pennsylvania holds appointments in psychology political science departments Wharton School Business He his wife, Barbara Mellers, co leaders Good Project, multi year study also Expert How Is It Can We Know FREE shipping qualifying offers intelligence failures surrounding invasion Iraq dramatically illustrate necessity developing standards for evaluating expert opinion This book fills need Here Overcoming Bias Quiz Fox Hedgehog I great months ago provides insight into nature bias error Judgement, One The Hedgehog Wikipedia External Kristof, Nicholas D March , Learning to Think, NY TimesReport uses fox hedgehog parable economics window tax an open shut case Financial Times People respond profound ways incentives They adjust their behaviour avoid National Interest Debating issues China, Russia, Iran, Security, Defense, War Peace, International Relations US Politics Realism our guide s discoveries there significant correlation between accuracy cognitive style measure introduced Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

  • 3.4
  • 2638
  • Kindle
  • 0804136718
  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

  • Philip E Tetlock
  • English
  • 25 August 2017
  • 352 pages

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *